Web25 Jun 2014 · One, partial, explanation comes from the observation by various researchers including Poterba and Summers (1988) and Fama and French (1988), of positive short-term autocorrelation among stock returns and negative longer-term autocorrelation. Webon the autocorrelation function of returns (Conrad and Kaul 1988, Fama and French 1988a, Lo and MacKinlay 1988, Poterba and Summers 1988). But as we discuss below, it is possible for ex O3 returns to be driven largely by changing expectations of future returns, even if the autocorrelations of returns are all zero or very close to zero. Thus
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future …
WebŽ. Ž. Ž.1988 , Poterba and Summers 1988 , and Kim et al. 1991 find that the mean reversion evidence is extremely sensitive to the inclusion of 1930s and 1940s data in estimation. Our regression approach can be contrasted with the simulation approach typically used to test explanations of the mean reversion evidence. For instance, WebPoterba and Summers (1988) observe that the failure to distinguish between low-frequency mean reversion and complete unpredictability of returns lies in the power of the tests used to examine them. For instance, a test of mean reversion in 5-year stock market returns based on the data available from the Center for Research in Security Prices cheap around the world flights
Dynamic conditional correlation approach to the linkage between …
WebThe third approach is what I call the direct testing approach (Lo and MacKinlay 1988 and Poterba and Summers 1988). This approach uses some kind of statistical measures like variance-ratio tests to test if stock prices follow \random walks." However, this approach does not tell us what processes prices follow if the \random walk" hypothesis is ... WebIn empirical studies that involve long-term UK market evidence Poterba and Summers (1988) find negative serial correlation consistent with overreaction, while Dissanaike (1997) employs contrarian strategies adjusted for risk and also finds that past losers outperform past winners. Furthermore, Brouwer et al., (1997) come to similar Web1 Oct 1988 · Volume 22, Issue 1, October 1988, Pages 27-59 Mean reversion in stock prices: Evidence and Implications James M. Poterba , Lawrence H. Summers Add to Mendeley … cute denver broncos sweatpants